Middle East
The Zahedan Bombing
The Wave of Economic Discontent
Yesterday s breaking news for many outside was the latest statement by Mir Hossein Mousavi linking criticism of Western sanctions against Iran with criticism of the Government s mismanagement of foreign policy and the economy. Inside Iran, however, the most significant incident appeared to be the continuing furour, including strikes, in the Tehran Bazaar over proposed tax riss. The immediate reversal of a 70% increase may have stemmed discontent, but it does so at the risk of making the Government look vulnerable.
Iran Analysis Crisis ‘What Crisis’
With his declaration this week, it looks like Ahmad Tavakoli - leading conservative member of Parliament, former Minister of Labor, former Presidential candidate, cousin of Speaker of Parliament Ali Larijani and head of Iran s judiciary Sadegh Larijani - has crossed the Rubicon of resistance. What else coud the following mean? How does the President permit himself to refuse to follow a laws that he does not think is in his interest or even worse to say to astonished viewers on TV that I will not implement it?
Iran Establishing the First “Anti-Censorship Shelter”
Reporters Without Borders has launched the world s first "Anti-Censorship Shelter" for use by foreign journalists, bloggers, and activists. The organization said at a gathering in Paris, "At a time when online filtering and surveillance is becoming more and more widespread, we are making an active commitment to an Internet that is unrestricted and accessible to all by providing the victims of censorship with the means of protecting their online information."
Iran Special Mousavi, Karroubi, and the Strategy of “We Are Still Standing (for the Revolution)”
Mousavi and Karroubi are claiming that they are defending the Islamic Republic, which is being torn down by a Government which should be upholding its values and Constitution. Some would-be analysts of Iranian politics argue that the opposition is "counter-revolutionary"; Mousavi and Karroubi point to the strategy that the opposition is still "revolutionary" in its pursuit of the goals of 1979. Equally important, they are pointedly noting that the Government is attacking figures, including Khomeini, who were and are "the Revolution".
How Europe Can Help
If the past is any guide, the UN Security Council s decision to impose new sanctions on Iran is unlikely to radically alter Iran s behaviour and its pursuit of its nuclear programme. Instead, the EU and US should shift their Iran policy toward increasing the prospects for political change in the country.
Iran Snapshot Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Master of Irony
If the US offered its citizens the right to freedom of information on world affairs, so that the American people could be fully informed of their leaders support for Israeli atrocities as well as the crimes they have committed in Iraq and Afghanistan, the people would take effective measures against their statesmen.
Iran Analysis: The Unexpected Fight Over “Khomeini”
Occasionally, in this crisis of almost a year, there is an unexpected twist of events. On the surface, that development may not fit the narrative of Green Movement v. regime, but its significance intersects with it and may propel even wider shifts in Iranian politics. So it is with the Friday incident when the grandson of [...]
The Meaning of Today’s Khamenei-Ahmadinejad Show
The Ahmadinejad speech was even less significant. He strained to claim legitimacy from the election, but the crowd response was pretty listless. Even among those, who would have been encouraged to attend because of their loyalty to the regime, it was hard to see the mass support that the President was claiming.
Greens Will Not be Stopped by Arrests, Prisons, or Killing
Mousavi, referring to the anniversary of the passing of Imam Khomeini [4 June] and recalling the unique and historic funeral of Imam Khomeini in which millions of people participated, called this great participation a sign of the support of the nation for the revolution and what have had happened in its first decade of the revolution: Without trying to ignore some of the problems, this [great participation] was a sign that many of the principles were achieved [at that time]
Iran Nuke Analysis Reading the US-Turkey Discussions
Iran has been very busy in recent weeks having conversations with a range of countries. Part of that conversation did occur last week in the dinner in New York. And not only during the conversation in New York, not only did Iran not offer any new, Foreign Minister Mottaki indicated during the dinner that notwithstanding any potential agreement on the Tehran research reactor, they would continue to enrich uranium to 20 percent, which we which is of great concern to us and violates their obligations under the IAEA.
Iran Document Khatami “Khordaad is the Month of the People”(22 May)
Former Diplomat Heidari Reveals the Regime
Earlier this year, Mohammad Reza Heidari, the Iranian Consul in Norway, became the highest-ranked Iranian diplomat to resign over the post-election conflict. This week he spoke with Channel 4 of Britain about his decision, the concerns over his security and that of his family, and the politics of the Iranian regime.
Iran Analysis: Assessing the Tehran Nuclear Deal (Gary Sick)
Gary Sick, a former official in the Carter and Reagan Administrations and one of the top US-based analysts on Iran, offers an evaluation of today’s agreement between Iran, Brazil, and Turkey on a procedure for the enrichment of Tehran’s uranium stock: What to make of the new nuclear agreement by Turkey and Brazil with Iran? Perhaps the [...]
The State of Tehrans Nuclear Programme (Cirincione)
Iran does not have enough known uranium reserves to fuel its current enrichment plant at Natanz for very long. It certainly does not have enough to fuel the 10 new enrichment plants it claims it will build. But the most likely reason why the government first accepted, then rejected the uranium swap is that the regime is in crisis. It cannot get the consensus it needs to either accept or completely reject the deal.
Daily Life in Tehran, One Year On
Mohzen Sahabifar, the shopkeeper: Our Friday is not a day of rest for me. In fact, it isn t any better than all the other days. There is smog over Tehran again, and the people, as is so often the case, are in a bad mood. On the way to my shop, all it takes is one word and everyone starts to complain: about rising prices, mismanagement and the politicians lies. When I push up the grate in front of my shop, I see half-empty shelves. I don t have enough money to adequately invest in merchandise. Besides, very high inflation is driving wholesale prices to unaffordable levels. The price of one household cleaner rose by 16 percent just in the time between two orders.
Fall of the Islamic Republic, Pros and Cons
Those who believe in overthrowing the regime have very clear reasons: inefficiency, its black profile in violating human rights, its despotic character, a long experience of resistance to reform, multiple dead ends and contradictions in the legal system, and institutionalised discriminations and privileges.
Assessing Europe’s Sanctions and Tehran’s Oil
Iran is a country with very large reserves of natural gas, a lot of it relatively low-cost to produce. With the right investment, Iran could become a gas exporter of global significance in about a decade. Europe is one of the largest gas markets in the world. Its combination of liberalized electricity markets and ambitious environmental policies has the effect of favoring gas as a fuel for power generation, at least in the mid-term. Russia s position in the European gas market raises concerns about market power and the politicization of gas supplies from Russia. The EU supports new gas pipeline projects from Central Asia and the Middle East through Turkey to diversify Europe s sources of natural gas; the availability of Iranian gas could be essential to the success of this diversification strategy. Russia, on the other hand, should want to prevent or delay the emergence of Iran as a large gas exporter.
Iran and Russia The State of the “Alliance”
Independent countries are growing in power and new players have entered international political scene. Therefore, the existing structure of the United Nations Security Council and international relations, which has led to dominance of a hegemonic system on the world, cannot provide solutions to all problems as that structure was suitable for conditions of past decades and is no good for a modern world. For example, crises in Palestine, Iraq, and Afghanistan cannot be solved within that framework. Many countries have owned up to this weakness and even the US President has stated that the United States will not tackle all international problems single-handedly as it is not able to solve all of them alone.
Iran Media Follow-Up War, War, War. Blah, Blah, Blah. No Facts. More War. Blah
It appears that some journalists have missed our coverage this week - in a dissection of Joe Klein s lightly-sourced hyperbole and in Marc Lynch's comment on the danger of hyperbole becoming received wisdom - over the hyping of Israeli military action against Tehran. First, Bret Stephens put out the question, 'Why Hasn t Israel Bombed Iran (Yet)?' and then offered four 'theories', all of which were void of any information on Israel s current planning and strategy.
Iran Election Anniversary Special The Power of the “Gradual”
This morning, I drafted this contribution to a new project for the anniversary of Iran s election. (More details soon, I hope.) I decided to post this after reading a series of high-profile analysis in Foreign Policy magazine which try to define Iran One Year Later for us. Ironically, given that the title of the collection is "Misreading Tehran", I found some of the pieces misleading, misguided, and even at times although I know this was not the intention of the authors belittling in their representation of Iranians.
The Latest from Iran (19 May): Fallout
1200 GMT: The Uranium Battle. Ali Akbar Salehi, the head of Iran’s atomic energy agency, has issued the highest-level reaction to the US pursuit of a sanctions resolution at the United Nations, “They won’t prevail and by pursuing the passing of a new resolution they are discrediting themselves in public opinion.” 0940 GMT: Political Prisoner Watch. [...]
22 Khordad – What Happened and What It Means
The people of Iran today yet again proved that intimidation, imprisonment, torture, rapes, shootings and deaths were not going to deter them from continuing to oppose the Islamic Republic s brutality and unjust policies. In that sense, it was a clear victory for the Green Movement. They managed to land people on the streets on the day that they wanted and the government " even though it employed thousands of security forces "was unable to stop them. This is despite the fact that opposition leaders Mir Hossein Mousavi and Mehdi Karroubi had cancelled the plans for the protest.
Iran’s Uranium Why Can’t the US Take Yes for an Answer
A noticeable irritation can be sensed in Washington. After months of investing in a new UN Security Council resolution and an escalation of the conflict and apparently winning agreement among the permanent members of the council for such a measure two emerging powers had the audacity to intervene and find a solution. Brazil and Turkey should keep their expectations low, however, because there will not be any thank you party for them in Washington anytime soon.
Ahmadinejad says Iran may end enrichment
Iran would consider ending higher level uranium enrichment, the most crucial part of its controversial nuclear activities, if world powers send Tehran nuclear fuel for a medical research reactor, President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad told reporters Friday. Addressing a packed press conference in a New York hotel, Ahmadinejad also said Iran was prepared to set a date for resumption of talks with six world powers to discuss Tehran's nuclear program, saying October would be the likely time for the two sides to meet.
Inside Shell’s Iran Game
Royal Dutch Shell resumed its gasoline shipments to Iran, International Oil Daily reported this morning. The company got back into business with the Iranian regime after a six-month hiatus. The move is a slap at the U.S. Congress, which has been working to develop energy sanctions that could curtail the regime s nuclear weapons program, human rights abuses, and support for terrorism.
US will not pay bail for jailed hiker State Department
The US government will not pay prison bail for American hiker Sarah Shourd, who Iran says it will release on health grounds in exchange for 500,000 dollars, the State Department said Monday. "The United States government does not fund prisoner bail," State Department spokesman Phillip Crowley told reporters, reiterating the standard US policy. "We in the United States government would not be involved in that action, if that action were to be taken."
Convicted killer of Iranian ex-PM to be deported
Finding way forward on Iran
Despite additional sanctions recently imposed on Iran by the United States, the European Union and the United Nations, a consensus is emerging that the current course on Iran isn t working. After years of token penalties and fruitless negotiations, time is running out. CIA Director Leon Panetta s admissions on June 27 that the recent sanctions would not be enough to thwart Iran s nuclear ambitions and that Iran probably has enough low-enriched uranium for two nuclear weapons underscore how serious the situation has become. Even Russian President Dmitry Medvedev has conceded that Iran is moving closer to acquiring a nuclear capability.
Middle East Spectator: Will Al-Salehi Repair Relations?
It was notable that the first statement issued by the new Iranian Foreign Minister, Ali Akbar Salehi, focussed on the need to improve his country's relations with two of its neighbours: Saudi Arabia and Turkey. At a time when relations with Turkey are considered to be at their best for 30 years, relations with Saudi Arabia have reached a new low, and are likely to deteriorate further. Ousted minister Manouchehr Mottaki was not the cause of such deterioration, and thus it would be wrong to think that his dismissal would remove the obstacles between the two countries.
Russia urges Iran to respond to uranium enrichment compromise
BERLIN, February 5 (RIA Novosti) - Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov sent a tough warning to Iran on Friday, saying its nuclear program could be discussed at the UN Security Council if Tehran fails to respond to Western compromises. "We reaffirmed that if we see no constructive response from Iran, we will have to discuss the issue at the UN Security Council," Lavrov said following talks in Berlin with his German counterpart Guido Westerwelle.
Iran Says US Defense Missiles Easily Defeated
A senior Iranian military official is warning Gulf Arab nations not to buy U.S. missile defense systems, saying they can easily be thwarted. The chief of staff of Iran's armed forces, General Hassan Firouzabadi, was quoted Thursday by Iranian state news as saying the Patriot missiles can be made ineffective through simple tactics.
Iran’s Allies China, Russia Part on Sanctions Talk
Iran's key allies, China and Russia, are sending divergent messages on whether to pursue further sanctions against Iran for its nuclear program. Chinese Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi warned Thursday that talk of additional sanctions is complicating the situation and hindering efforts to find a diplomatic solution.
Leader blames negligence of certain figures for bitter events
Tehran, Feb 2, IRNA -- Supreme Leader of the Islamic Revolution Ayatollah Seyed Ali Khamenei said on Tuesday that negligence on part of certain figures caused bitter events in recent months. The Supreme Leader made the remarks in a meeting with a group of university professors and lecturers from Tehran University. The Supreme leader said that sometime negligence and any move with lack of trust in political arena might account for treason
Iranian Opposition Leader ‘Roots of Dictatorship’ Remain in Iran
Iranian opposition leader Mir Hossein Mousavi has sharply criticized Iran's conservative leadership, accusing it of failing to live up to the goals of the nation's Islamic Revolution. In comments published Tuesday on his Web site (kaleme.com), Mousavi says the "roots of despotism and dictatorship" remain from Iran's pre-revolutionary monarchist system.
Iran To Execute Nine More Protesters, As Opposition Leader Denounces ‘Dictatorship’
The deputy head of Iran's judiciary says nine more protesters are to be executed soon over the unrest that erupted following the controversial June presidential elections. Iran's Fars news agency quoted Ebrahim Raisi as saying that the nine were linked to counterrevolutionary groups and planned to topple the Islamic regime.
Supreme Leader: Three branches of gov’t must uphold law and order
Iran’s Supreme Leader Demands Strong Action Against Protesters
Nuclear Weapons – Iran
Iran's nuclear program began in the Shah's era, including a plan to build 20 nuclear power reactors. Two power reactors in Bushehr, on the coast of the Persian Gulf, were started but remained unfinished when they were bombed and damaged by the Iraqis during the Iran-Iraq war. Following the revolution in 1979, all nuclear activity was suspended, though subsequently work was resumed on a somewhat more modest scale. Current plans extend to the construction of 15 power reactors and two research reactors.
Iran’s Supreme Leader Lauds Turnout at Anniversary Rally
Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has praised the massive turnout for Thrusday's government-backed rally marking the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution. Government supporters and opposition protesters had poured into the streets to mark the day, which was punctuated by sporadic clashes between protesters and police.
US to Target Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps with New Sanctions
Iran Announces Production of 2 New Missiles
Iranian Defense Minister Ahmad Vahidi indicated Saturday that two new missiles with sophisticated capabilities will go into production at recently constructed facilities. He touted the missiles' merits at a test-firing ceremony, just days after the successful launch of a rocket carrying mice, a turtle and worms into space.
Trial Of Iran’s ‘Blogfather’ Begins, 20 Months After His Arrest
Iran s hard-line Fars news agency reports that the trial of controversial blogger Hossein Derakhshan, known as Iran s 'Blogfather' for helping to popularize blogging in the Islamic republic, began in Tehran on June 23. Derakhshan has been in jail since November 2008. According to Fars, the charges against Derakhshan include working with "hostile" governments, propaganda against the Islamic establishment, propaganda in favor of antirevolutionary groups, insulting religious sanctities, and launching and managing obscene" websites.
Ahmadinejad looks to Lebanon to escape home truths
While in Lebanon, Ahmadinejad is expected to tour the southern border, including the town of Bint Jbeil, which is a Hezbollah stronghold. Meanwhile, according to the London-based al-Quds al-Arabi, Ahmadinejad will also throw stones towards Israel from the Fatima border crossing garden which he will be inaugurating, close to Israel's border.
U.S. believes Chinese companies are helping Iran develop nukes
U.S. sanctions Iran officials over ‘human rights violations’
Erdogan Turkey wants to triple trade with Iran within 5 years
Turkey wants to triple its trade volume with Iran within five years, Turkey's prime minister told businessmen on Thursday, at a time when sanctions are scaring off Western investors from the Islamic Republic. Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan and Iranian First Vice President Mohammad Reza Rahimi oversaw the meeting which brought together over a hundred businessmen, including Turkish investors eager to buy into Iran's mostly government-owned textile, machinery and automotive industries.
PA official Iran has no business interfering with Palestinian cause
Ayatollah Khamenei Peace talks a cover up for Israeli ‘crimes’
U.S. Newly revealed ‘covert’ Iran facility not nuclear
The United States took a surprising stance on Friday supporting Iranian claims that it was not building a new secret uranium enrichment facility, after an Iranian opposition group exposed satellite imagery on Thursday allegedly proving the existence of a secret nuclear site some 120 kilometers from Tehran.
Ex-nuclear official Iran has material for 1 to 2 atom bombs
Iran says it may halt high-level fuel enrichment
Iran would stop higher-grade enrichment if it is assured of nuclear fuel supplies for a research reactor, President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was quoted as saying in a Japanese newspaper on Friday. Published on the eve of the inauguration of Iran's first nuclear power plant, Ahmadinejad's comments appeared to signal a possible willingness to compromise on a key concern for the West regarding the Islamic Republic's nuclear program.
Ahmadinejad 9 11 terror attacks death toll was exaggerated
G-8 ‘fully believes’ Israel will attack Iran, says Italy PM
Ahmadinejad Obama must seize ‘historic chance’ to work with Iran
Clinton Iran nuclear swap deal is a ‘ploy’ to block UN sanctions
Turkey defends its attempt to resolve Iran nuclear standoff
Turkey is defending its attempt to resolve the nuclear standoff between Iran and Western powers led by the U.S. Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan's office says he told President Barack Obama that the deal brokered by Turkey and Brazil can end the conflict by having Iran ship much of its low-enriched uranium to Turkey.
Iran ‘may cancel uranium swap deal if UN imposes sanctions’
Iranian cleric Promiscuous women cause earthquakes
A senior Iranian cleric said Monday women who wear revealing clothing and behave promiscuously are to blame for earthquakes. Iran is one of the world's most earthquake-prone countries, and the cleric's unusual explanation for why the earth shakes follows a prediction by President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad that a quake is certain to hit Tehran and that many of its 12 million inhabitants should relocate.
Iran `still ready to negotiate solution to nuclear stand-off`
Talk is cheap, Obama must act to stop a nuclear Iran
Obama Evidence shows Iran is developing nukes
International push for Iran sanctions is too little, too late
IDF trying to boost China ties ahead of Iran sanctions vote
The head of the army's Planning Directorate, Maj. Gen. Amir Eshel, will make an official visit to China next week to meet senior officials in the defense establishment there. Eshel, who is in charge of strategic planning and foreign affairs for the Israel Defense Forces, is hoping to present the Chinese with Israel's view on Iran's drive toward nuclear military capability.
Report Iranian nuclear scientist defects to U.S.
An Iranian nuclear scientist who has been missing since June has defected to the United States and is helping the CIA, ABC news reported on Tuesday. Citing unnamed sources briefed on the defection, the network said Shahram Amiri, a nuclear physicist in his early 30s, defected as part of a long-planned operation to get him to leave Iran and resettle in the United States.
Hezbollah official Israel strike on Iran could ignite Mideast
Violence could spread across the Middle East with Israel paying a "heavy price" if it launched military action against Iran, the deputy leader of Hezbollah said on Thursday. Israel sees Iran's nuclear program as a threat to its existence and has not ruled out military action if diplomacy fails to curb the Islamic Republic's atomic work.
Biden Nuclear Iran would threaten United States as well as Israel
Facing new sanctions, Iran admits oil shortages
Ahmadinejad ‘Zionist regime’ is an insult to humanity
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad on Sunday said that the existence of "the Zionist regime" is an insult to humanity, according to Iranian news agency IRNA. Ahmadinejad made his remarks at a conference called "National and Islamic Solidarity for the Future of Palestine" where he declared Israel the reason for instability in the Middle East.
Barak Iran developing nukes, not ‘Avatar-like long bows’
Is Iran ‘inviting’ Israel to strike its nuclear facility
Is Iran goading Israel to strike one of its nuclear facilities? That is one explanation that international nuclear inspectors and analysts have come up with to explain why Iran moved recently moved nearly its entire stockpile of low-enriched nuclear fuel to above-ground plants, according to a report published Friday in the New York Times.
Assad hosts Nasrallah, Ahmadinejad for 3-way meet
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Syrian President Bashar Assad and Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah met in Damascus late Thursday, Hezbollah's Al-Manar television station has reported. The three held their meeting over dinner at the presidential palace, accompanied by senior advisers from all three sides. This was the first time a Nasrallah visit to Damascus has been reported.
Ahmadinejad tells Tehran mass rally Iran is now a nuclear state
Iran’s Supreme Leader West can’t save Israel
Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei said Sunday that Western support of Israel was ineffective, telling a top Palestinian militant leader that its obliteration was imminent according to the will of God. "Today Palestine is the symbol of life, determination, faithfulness, diligence, and dignity," Ayatollah Khamenei told Ramadan Abdullah, the secretary general of the Palestinian Islamic Jihad Movement.
Brazil drops role in Iran nuclear dispute
Makhmalbaf Secrets of Khamenei’s life – part 1 – His interests
After the Shah and Khomeini, Khamenei is the individual who has most affected the public and private lives of Iranians in the past several decades. He is the person who more than any other knows about the lives of this or that individual through his intelligence apparatus. But very few people know the details about his home, family, connections, interests, or work habits. This excessive secretiveness has been a deliberate choice made by him and his system. By being shrouded in secrecy, he has derived a religious charisma among his followers and a sinister quality among the people.
Student day scrap book
Iran begins production of cruise missiles
Tehran Air Pollution Keeps Iran’s Capital Shut Down Amid ‘Unbreathable’ Smog
In Tehran's northern suburbs, 24-year-old Sepehr Shaygan is nursing a stubborn headache he blames on the smog. His mother puts on a surgical mask to do the shopping for a barbecue on the roof. The family then peered out into a soup of yellow haze instead of the vista of cityscape and distant mountains when the weather is clear.
War With Iran
21 Billion Dollars In the Name of South Pars. To the Guards’ Liking
The Revolutionary Guards’ Looting of Iran’s Economy
According to Article 44 of the Islamic Republic's constitution, Iran should have a planned economy in which "the state sector is to include all large-scale and mother industries, foreign trade, major minerals, banking, insurance, power generation, dams and large-scale irrigation networks, radio and television, post, telegraph and telephone services, aviation, shipping, roads, railroads and the like; all these will be publicly owned and administered by the state." Beyond the state sector, Article 44 also defines a so-called cooperative sector, which includes "cooperative companies and enterprises concerned with production and distribution, in urban and rural areas," as well as a private sector, which consists of "those activities concerned with agriculture, animal husbandry, industry, trade, and services that supplement the economic activities of the state and cooperative sectors."